Well here we are in 2005. It looks like Bush wants to have a go at Iran. Well he can't due to the US army being overstretched in Afghanistan and Iraq. And surely even the neo-con loons have enough of a grip on reality to grasp that they are already in the shit and to risk a regional conflict (Shia Iran, mostly Shia Iraq, rabidly Sunni Saudi Arabia, Minority Sunni Ba'athist Iraq, Sunni Pakistan with their own significant Shia unrest) would be catastrophic.
Dunno though.